Incomáti vs Sporting Beira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incomáti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
FER
3 - 0
IDX
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
IDX
1 - 0
FER
34%
28%
39%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
HCB
0 - 0
IDX
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
IDX
0 - 1
LIG
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
IDX
0 - 2
DMA
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
BEI
1 - 1
COS
42%
29%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
BEI
48%
27%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BEI
0 - 1
MAX
26%
28%
46%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
BEI
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BEI
0 - 1
MAT
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |