Incheon United vs Ulsan HD FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
38.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
6º
10º
6º
67
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
INC
2 - 2
SUW
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GAN
0 - 2
INC
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
JEO
2 - 0
INC
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
INC
0 - 0
DAE
33%
27%
41%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GWA
5 - 0
INC
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ULS
2 - 2
POH
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DCI
2 - 1
ULS
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ULS
2 - 1
SUW
42%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
JEJ
1 - 3
ULS
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ULS
3 - 0
SUW
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |