Incheon United vs Ulsan HD FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
SEO
0 - 0
INC
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
INC
1 - 1
FCS
44%
29%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CDR
1 - 0
INC
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
INC
0 - 0
JEO
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SUW
2 - 1
INC
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
ULS
1 - 1
SUW
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DCI
1 - 1
ULS
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ULS
2 - 0
GWA
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ULS
0 - 0
CDR
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
POH
2 - 4
ULS
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |