Incheon United vs Suwon Bluewings analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
INC
0 - 1
POH
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SUW
0 - 0
INC
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
INC
1 - 1
FCS
35%
29%
37%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
DCI
1 - 3
INC
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
DAE
2 - 2
INC
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Suwon Bluewings
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SUW
0 - 1
FCS
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SUW
0 - 0
INC
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
GWA
2 - 1
SUW
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SUW
1 - 2
SUW
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
JEJ
2 - 1
SUW
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |