Incheon United vs Suwon Bluewings analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
6º
10º
6º
25
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GAN
1 - 1
INC
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
YFM
2 - 4
INC
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
INC
2 - 1
JEJ
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
INC
0 - 2
POH
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SUW
1 - 2
INC
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Suwon Bluewings
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DCI
3 - 1
SUW
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SUW
0 - 1
DAE
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SUW
0 - 1
FCS
37%
27%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GWA
4 - 0
SUW
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SUW
1 - 0
JEJ
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |