Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
12º
56
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
INC
0 - 1
GAN
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
JEJ
1 - 0
INC
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
INC
1 - 3
POH
36%
28%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
INC
0 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
JEO
2 - 2
INC
42%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
DAE
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
DCI
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GAN
2 - 3
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
INC
0 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
GWA
2 - 0
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |