Incheon United vs Mokpo City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
INC
1 - 2
POH
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CDR
1 - 3
INC
49%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
INC
2 - 0
POC
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
INC
2 - 1
FCS
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
SUW
5 - 2
INC
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mokpo City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
MOK
2 - 3
GAN
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
MOK
29%
27%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
HAN
1 - 2
MOK
8%
16%
76%
|
58 | 24 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
MOK
1 - 2
GIM
28%
28%
45%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 2
MOK
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |