Incheon United vs Gwangju FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
12º
43
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
DCI
0 - 1
INC
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
INC
1 - 2
FCS
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
INC
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
INC
3 - 0
JEO
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
POH
0 - 0
INC
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
GWA
0 - 3
JEO
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
GWA
2 - 1
ULS
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DAE
3 - 2
GWA
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
GWA
2 - 1
DCI
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
JEJ
1 - 3
GWA
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |