Incheon United vs Gwangju FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
6º
10º
6º
54
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
INC
0 - 0
JEO
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
JEJ
2 - 0
INC
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
INC
0 - 1
SUW
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
POH
0 - 2
INC
43%
27%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
INC
0 - 1
ULS
34%
28%
39%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
GWA
0 - 2
DAE
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 1
GWA
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GWA
0 - 0
DCI
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ULS
2 - 1
GWA
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
GWA
0 - 1
JEJ
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |