Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
12º
35
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ULS
3 - 3
INC
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 0
INC
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
INC
0 - 1
SUW
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
KAY
1 - 3
INC
6%
13%
81%
|
77 | 36 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DAE
2 - 1
INC
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Daejeon Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DCI
1 - 1
GAN
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
JEJ
3 - 1
DCI
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
JEO
1 - 1
DCI
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VFC
1 - 2
DCI
12%
18%
70%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
DCI
1 - 0
PER
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |