Incheon United vs Bucheon FC 1995 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
4º
1º
38
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 88 |
1º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 78 |
2º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 69 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 69 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 62 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 58 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 54 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 51 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 44 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 42 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 37 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 36 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 35 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 32 |
14º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
90% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 71% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 29% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
CHE
3 - 3
INC
16%
25%
59%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
INC
2 - 0
CDR
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
ANG
0 - 2
INC
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
ULS
3 - 0
INC
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
KOR
0 - 3
INC
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bucheon FC 1995
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SUW
4 - 1
BUC
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
KOR
2 - 2
BUC
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
BUC
1 - 0
HWA
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
BUC
3 - 1
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
GYE
0 - 3
BUC
35%
27%
39%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |