IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
5º
4º
18
8º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
39 | 13 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 13 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 8 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
JAV
1 - 1
NOV
33%
26%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 0
ZEL
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
MLA
1 - 2
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 1
NAP
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 0
NOV
77%
15%
9%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Radnik Surdulica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 4
NPA
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 0
RAD
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 2
RAD
53%
27%
20%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RAD
0 - 2
CRV
8%
18%
75%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
ZEL
3 - 1
RAD
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |