IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnički Kragujevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
8º
10º
8º
0
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
3 | 58 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 52 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 49 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 49 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 47 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 46 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 44 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
1 | 42 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 37 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 37 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 37 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 35 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 34 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 33 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 26 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
52.5% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
47.5% | 17.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
MLA
1 - 1
NOV
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
NOV
0 - 2
RAD
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
RAD
3 - 1
NOV
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
NOV
0 - 0
JAV
58%
22%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
NOV
2 - 1
NAP
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Radnički Kragujevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
RAD
0 - 0
KLA
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
RAD
0 - 1
MLA
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
RAD
3 - 1
NOV
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
RAD
4 - 0
JEZ
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
NAP
0 - 1
RAD
27%
25%
48%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |