Serbia League Promotion Play Offs Final
Global 3-3
IMT Novi Beograd vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
MNS
2 - 3
NOV
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 2
ZEL
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
INI
0 - 1
NOV
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
JAV
2 - 4
NOV
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
ZAR
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2022 |
RNS
0 - 2
NPA
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
NPA
0 - 1
RAD
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
CRV
8 - 0
NPA
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MET
0 - 3
NPA
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NPA
2 - 1
RAD
52%
27%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |