IMT Novi Beograd vs Metalac GM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
3º
2º
35
2º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
INI
0 - 1
NOV
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
RNB
81%
14%
6%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 2
NOV
15%
24%
62%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NOV
5 - 3
RAD
82%
12%
5%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 0
GRA
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
LOZ
1 - 1
MET
33%
26%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
RAD
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
MAV
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 2
MET
15%
21%
64%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
RSM
2 - 1
MET
39%
29%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |