IMT Novi Beograd vs Grafičar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
4º
1º
60
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 11 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 11 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 7 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
RSM
1 - 3
NOV
22%
27%
51%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
ZEL
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 0
FKZ
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
ZEL
2 - 0
NOV
37%
26%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
VRS
0 - 1
NOV
11%
22%
68%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Grafičar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ZEL
2 - 2
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 2
RSM
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RSM
3 - 1
GRA
26%
27%
48%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 0
MET
62%
21%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
INI
0 - 1
GRA
36%
26%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |