IMT Novi Beograd vs Grafičar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
3º
2º
50
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
JED
0 - 1
NOV
12%
23%
65%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
RAD
3 - 0
NOV
49%
24%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 2
TKS
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
NOV
20%
26%
54%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
FKZ
0 - 0
NOV
13%
22%
66%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Grafičar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
6 - 1
RAD
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LOZ
2 - 1
GRA
15%
23%
62%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
VOJ
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 1
MAV
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 2
RSM
71%
18%
10%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |