IMT Novi Beograd vs Sloboda Uzice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
3º
2º
37
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
NOV
35%
26%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
JED
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
TKS
2 - 3
NOV
16%
24%
60%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NOV
4 - 1
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
HAP
1 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sloboda Uzice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 1
RAD
36%
29%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LOZ
0 - 0
SLO
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
SLO
2 - 1
MAV
40%
28%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
RSM
0 - 0
SLO
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
SLO
3 - 0
RSK
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |