IMT Novi Beograd vs RFK Novi Sad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
4º
1º
50
4º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 11 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 11 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 7 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
RNB
1 - 3
NOV
13%
23%
64%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NOV
4 - 3
JED
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
INI
2 - 0
NOV
22%
26%
53%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 0
GRA
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
RSM
1 - 3
NOV
22%
27%
51%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
RFK Novi Sad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 2
ZEL
32%
30%
38%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 0
NOV
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
RSM
4 - 2
NOV
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 2
RNB
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 0
INI
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |