IMT Novi Beograd vs RFK Novi Sad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
3º
2º
42
4º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
HAP
1 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
NPA
0 - 2
NOV
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 3
NPA
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MNS
2 - 3
NOV
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 2
ZEL
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
RFK Novi Sad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 2
CEL
67%
19%
15%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
BAK
5 - 0
NOV
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +16 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 1
BZR
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
STE
3 - 3
NOV
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
RAD
34%
27%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |