Imst vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
6.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
10º
5º
25
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 1
IMS
6%
15%
79%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
IMS
1 - 3
DOR
47%
21%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
IMS
4 - 2
WAT
86%
9%
5%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KUF
0 - 1
IMS
29%
23%
48%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
IMS
4 - 1
KIT
76%
15%
10%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 1
SCH
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TEL
10 - 0
WOR
52%
20%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
WOR
0 - 2
REI
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FUG
3 - 1
WOR
39%
23%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 7
MOT
58%
21%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |