Imst vs Kitzbühel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
10º
5º
26
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
IMS
4 - 1
KUN
92%
7%
2%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
IMS
4 - 4
SCH
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TEL
3 - 3
IMS
19%
21%
60%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
IMS
7 - 2
FUG
88%
9%
4%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
WOR
2 - 1
IMS
30%
23%
47%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KIT
4 - 0
SCH
20%
23%
58%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TEL
3 - 1
KIT
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
KIT
0 - 1
REI
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FUG
2 - 0
KIT
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
KIT
1 - 0
HAL
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |