Imst vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
WAT
3 - 1
IMS
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
IMS
4 - 2
MOT
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
SVI
0 - 0
IMS
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
IMS
1 - 2
VOL
73%
17%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
JEN
0 - 4
IMS
14%
21%
65%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 3
KIR
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
KIR
1 - 0
WAT
69%
16%
15%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MOT
2 - 2
KIR
22%
23%
56%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
KIR
4 - 1
SVI
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VOL
0 - 0
KIR
16%
20%
65%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |