Imst vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
STJ
0 - 8
IMS
23%
22%
54%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
IMS
2 - 1
KUN
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
IMS
3 - 1
KEM
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
IMS
2 - 0
AXG
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
REI
0 - 2
IMS
66%
17%
16%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
KIR
4 - 1
SVA
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
REU
5 - 2
KIR
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
KIR
1 - 1
TEL
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
SVK
2 - 5
KIR
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
KIR
2 - 1
MAT
40%
23%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |