Imst vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
KIT
2 - 1
IMS
42%
25%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
IMS
0 - 0
TEL
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MAT
1 - 1
IMS
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
IMS
0 - 2
STJ
76%
15%
8%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
IMS
0 - 1
REU
59%
21%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
KIR
5 - 1
TEL
64%
19%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
STJ
0 - 3
KIR
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
KIR
7 - 0
SKH
75%
15%
9%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HAL
1 - 0
KIR
72%
16%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
KIR
1 - 0
JEN
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |