CFZ Imbituba vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CFZ Imbituba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2013 |
IMB
2 - 1
ECB
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
BRU
1 - 0
IMB
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
IMB
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
IMB
2 - 0
GUA
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
IMB
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
HER
0 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
HER
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
IMB
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
2 - 1
HER
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
HER
2 - 2
TUB
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |