CFZ Imbituba vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CFZ Imbituba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
XVO
2 - 0
IMB
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
IMB
0 - 0
CAX
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
IMB
1 - 1
40%
24%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
TUB
0 - 1
IMB
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
IMB
1 - 2
GUA
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
TUB
3 - 0
HER
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
HER
0 - 1
GUA
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 0
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
HER
3 - 2
POR
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |