CFZ Imbituba vs Caxias Joinville FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
62%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CFZ Imbituba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
IMB
1 - 1
40%
24%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
TUB
0 - 1
IMB
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
IMB
1 - 2
GUA
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
IMB
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
IMB
1 - 0
POR
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 1
POR
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
3 - 0
CAX
19%
21%
60%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CAX
3 - 2
ECB
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 26 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
TUB
2 - 0
CAX
18%
20%
62%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 1
HER
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |