Ilves vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
KUO
0 - 2
ILV
59%
22%
20%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
ILV
0 - 0
KOO
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
ILV
0 - 0
PK3
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 5
ILV
28%
26%
45%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ILV
3 - 2
OUL
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VAA
2 - 1
SEI
59%
22%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
KER
1 - 0
VAA
15%
18%
67%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VAA
1 - 0
HON
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
HON
0 - 1
VAA
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SEI
0 - 2
VAA
34%
26%
41%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |