Ilves vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
11º
10º
36
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 0
ILV
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ILV
0 - 0
IFK
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
KOO
0 - 0
ILV
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
VJS
0 - 4
ILV
11%
18%
71%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 1
SEI
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAA
4 - 1
HAK
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VAA
3 - 0
OUL
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
INT
0 - 2
VAA
50%
24%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 1
VAA
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
VAA
3 - 0
INT
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |