Ilves vs PS-44 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
RAU
3 - 2
ILV
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2001 |
ILV
0 - 2
PP7
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
ILV
0 - 0
WIL
80%
14%
6%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2001 |
KAK
1 - 2
ILV
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2001 |
KAL
3 - 2
ILV
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
PS-44
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
PS4
1 - 2
PAL
66%
19%
14%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
KAL
4 - 1
PS4
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
PP7
0 - 0
PS4
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
PS4
0 - 2
RAU
66%
20%
15%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2001 |
PIF
0 - 4
PS4
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |