Ilves vs PIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
ILV
1 - 1
PAL
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
TPK
1 - 0
ILV
36%
25%
40%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
VGN
2 - 1
ILV
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2001 |
ILV
1 - 1
AIF
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
PS4
1 - 1
ILV
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
PIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
PIF
1 - 0
RAU
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2001 |
PIF
2 - 2
PP7
53%
23%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
TPK
1 - 0
PIF
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2001 |
PIF
1 - 4
WIL
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2001 |
PIF
1 - 1
VGN
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |