Ilves vs KuPS Kuopio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
12º
3º
44
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 1
ILV
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 0
INT
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ILV
5 - 0
HAK
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
EKE
0 - 2
ILV
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 2
OUL
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
KuPS Kuopio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
KUO
4 - 1
EKE
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 3
KUO
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
GNI
0 - 0
KUO
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
KUO
2 - 1
VAA
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SEI
1 - 1
KUO
33%
27%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |