Ilves vs KuPS Kuopio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
49%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
11º
10º
43
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 2
HAK
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
ILV
0 - 2
VAA
38%
26%
37%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 0
ILV
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ILV
0 - 0
IFK
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
KOO
0 - 0
ILV
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
KuPS Kuopio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
KUO
3 - 3
DER
41%
26%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
KUO
2 - 0
KOO
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
DER
2 - 1
KUO
45%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
INT
1 - 1
KUO
31%
28%
42%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 1
VAA
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |