Ilves vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
IFK
2 - 2
ILV
33%
27%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
KUO
2 - 0
ILV
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ILV
1 - 0
INT
39%
26%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ILV
0 - 2
HON
38%
26%
35%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ILV
0 - 1
INT
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
HJK
0 - 1
INT
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
HJK
3 - 0
IFK
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
HON
3 - 1
HJK
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
KUO
1 - 0
HJK
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
HJK
2 - 2
ROP
68%
20%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |