Ilves vs FC Lahti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
12º
3º
19
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
ILV
1 - 0
OUL
49%
23%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ILV
1 - 2
VAA
34%
24%
43%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
ILV
45%
24%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ILV
0 - 1
INT
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SEI
3 - 1
ILV
37%
24%
39%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 2
GNI
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 0
FCM
55%
21%
24%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 2
KUO
20%
22%
58%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
FCL
3 - 0
HJK
18%
21%
61%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 1
IFK
44%
24%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |