Ilves vs FC Honka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
47.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
VAA
3 - 0
ILV
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
FCL
1 - 1
ILV
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ILV
1 - 2
HJK
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
SEI
3 - 3
ILV
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
ILV
0 - 2
OUL
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
KUO
1 - 1
HON
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
HON
4 - 0
VAA
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
INT
0 - 1
HON
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
HON
5 - 0
FCL
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
SEI
3 - 2
HON
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |