Ilves U19 vs Grankulla IFK U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.7%
11.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
12º
1º
32
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
69% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
80.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
11º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
78.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 21 |
13º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
56% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 18 |
15º
|
71% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
10 | 10 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
9 | 9 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 15.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 84.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
TPS
0 - 4
ILV
18%
20%
62%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ILV
0 - 1
NPA
88%
8%
4%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ILV
9 - 1
KPJ
92%
6%
3%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VPS
2 - 0
ILV
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SEX
1 - 1
ILV
34%
21%
45%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grankulla IFK U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
IFK
3 - 0
KPJ
84%
11%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SEX
1 - 2
IFK
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
IFK
4 - 1
ITU
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HJS
0 - 2
IFK
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TVK
6 - 0
IFK
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -2 |