Illzach Modenheim vs Troyes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
VES
2 - 0
ILL
48%
24%
27%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BSU
3 - 3
ILL
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
SAI
3 - 1
ILL
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ILL
2 - 2
COL
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
JAR
2 - 3
ILL
27%
23%
51%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TRO
3 - 3
STP
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TRO
0 - 2
RCE
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
VES
2 - 1
TRO
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 2
SCH
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BSU
2 - 2
TRO
25%
24%
52%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |