Illzach Modenheim vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
FCS
1 - 3
ILL
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
ILL
2 - 0
VAU
57%
22%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
JAR
1 - 0
ILL
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
ILL
2 - 0
BEL
45%
25%
31%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
ALG
0 - 3
ILL
12%
20%
68%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SPI
4 - 2
SEL
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
FCS
2 - 1
SPI
24%
26%
51%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
SPI
3 - 2
VAU
58%
24%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
JAR
1 - 2
SPI
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
SPI
1 - 1
BEL
49%
26%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |