Illzach Modenheim vs Sarreguemines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
42.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
STR
2 - 2
ILL
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ILL
0 - 2
VAU
54%
21%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
THA
1 - 4
ILL
27%
24%
49%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ILL
3 - 0
PAG
47%
22%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
BIE
2 - 1
ILL
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sarreguemines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 2
FOR
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
STR
0 - 1
SAR
52%
22%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 1
STR
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +3 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
RCE
2 - 3
SAR
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 2
MET
33%
22%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |