Illzach Modenheim vs Raon-l'Etape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NAN
3 - 1
ILL
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ILL
2 - 3
SCH
73%
16%
10%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
REI
1 - 1
ILL
65%
19%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 0
ILL
32%
22%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ILL
3 - 4
SAR
61%
20%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
RCE
2 - 1
RAO
19%
23%
58%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
RAO
5 - 1
MET
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 1
RAO
25%
23%
51%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NAN
3 - 3
RAO
43%
24%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
RAO
3 - 1
SCH
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |