Illzach Modenheim vs Nancy II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ILL
0 - 3
MET
23%
25%
53%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 3
ILL
16%
19%
65%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ILL
2 - 3
SAR
53%
22%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SAI
2 - 1
ILL
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ILL
3 - 2
BIE
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
NAN
5 - 0
MOR
82%
13%
6%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SAR
4 - 3
NAN
23%
22%
55%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
NAN
3 - 0
SAI
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BIE
2 - 3
NAN
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NAN
4 - 1
SCH
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |