Illzach Modenheim vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 3
ILL
16%
19%
65%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ILL
2 - 3
SAR
53%
22%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SAI
2 - 1
ILL
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ILL
3 - 2
BIE
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 0
ILL
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
PON
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 3
MET
14%
21%
65%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MET
0 - 3
BSU
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 2
MET
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MET
3 - 0
THA
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |