Illzach Modenheim vs Forbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ILL
3 - 0
JAR
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 2
ILL
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
ILL
3 - 6
TRO
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
AUX
2 - 2
ILL
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ILL
2 - 0
VES
36%
25%
40%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 2
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
AUX
3 - 1
FOR
73%
17%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 2
SAR
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 3
LIL
2%
12%
86%
|
24 | 88 | 64 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 2
DIJ
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |