Illzach Modenheim vs Auxerre III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 1
ILL
61%
21%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ILL
0 - 2
MET
35%
27%
38%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SEL
0 - 1
ILL
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ILL
2 - 1
JAR
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SAR
1 - 1
ILL
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
SAI
2 - 3
AUX
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
AUX
4 - 0
SAR
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
AUX
1 - 1
SAI
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
PON
1 - 1
AUX
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
AUX
4 - 1
VAU
58%
22%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |