Illueca vs San Gregorio Arrabal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
MOL
1 - 2
ICF
17%
21%
62%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ICF
2 - 1
ALF
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
QUI
1 - 0
ICF
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ICF
2 - 0
LAA
42%
25%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ICF
1 - 0
UDS
54%
23%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
San Gregorio Arrabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 4
BEL
23%
24%
54%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CEL
3 - 1
SAN
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 2
MAL
18%
23%
59%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
SAA
1 - 2
SAN
71%
17%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 2
TAU
16%
22%
63%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |