Illueca vs CD Utrillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
16º
7º
40
9º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CUA
0 - 1
ICF
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ICF
2 - 1
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
BIN
0 - 1
ICF
35%
25%
41%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ICF
1 - 1
ROB
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 1
ICF
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Utrillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CDU
2 - 0
ATL
31%
26%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
TAM
0 - 1
CDU
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
CDU
1 - 1
CFA
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
EPI
1 - 1
CDU
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CDU
1 - 0
LAA
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |