Illkirch Graffenstaden vs Thaon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
54.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
13º
13º
44
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illkirch Graffenstaden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 3
ILL
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ILL
0 - 2
NAN
27%
21%
52%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
5 - 0
ILL
65%
20%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TRO
3 - 0
ILL
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ILL
0 - 0
RAO
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
THA
2 - 1
RCE
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
THA
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
THA
4 - 0
JAR
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
THA
2 - 1
MEZ
56%
22%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NAN
1 - 1
THA
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |