Illkirch Graffenstaden vs Nancy II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
52.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
13º
13º
39
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illkirch Graffenstaden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
5 - 0
ILL
65%
20%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TRO
3 - 0
ILL
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ILL
0 - 0
RAO
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ILL
2 - 2
RAO
25%
21%
54%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAR
4 - 2
ILL
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
NAN
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 2
NAN
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NAN
1 - 1
THA
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
NAN
5 - 2
BIE
43%
24%
34%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +3 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 0
NAN
22%
22%
56%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |